Source: Dollar 2004. « Growth is good for the poor » Average income growth Income growth for the 20% poorest Unit of observation: country (over long period)

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Transcription de la présentation:

Source: Dollar 2004

« Growth is good for the poor » Average income growth Income growth for the 20% poorest Unit of observation: country (over long period) Source: Dollar and Kray (2001)

Cross-country determinants of poverty Note: For details of the estimation and other results see Chen (2003). All estimations reported use ordinary least squares. The endogenous variable in all regression is the poverty gap. A * denotes significance at the 10 percent level, ** at the 5 percent level and *** at the 1 percent level. Standard errors are White Robust. Sample: 24 low-income countries, Source : Olarreaga & Nicita (2004), « Poverty », Ethiopia DTIS.

Source: Sala i Martin 2002 Income distribution over time: World,

Source: Sala i Martin 2002 Income distribution over time: World

Poverty: tide turning? Headcount of individuals living on less than $1 a day worldwide Source: World Bank (2002),"Globalization, Growth and Poverty: Building an Inclusive World Economy" million individuals First time!

and more trade doesnt imply more inequality Source: Dollar (2001) figure 12 Unit of observation: country (over long period)

Micro-economic determinants of poverty: household survey evidence Dependant variable: household per-capita income

Emploi enfants Salaire, produit marginal Offre de travail juvénile des familles Demande par les employeurs salaire déquil. Offre après taxe taxe Effet dune restriction sur le travail des enfants: analyse traditionnelle

wAwA A B C B Demande de travail effectif: n f(A i + γ C i ) = w A Travail effectif w A = 2s N(1+ γ)N Travail des enfants: le modèle de Basu et Hoang Wan # adultes # enfants divisé par 2 (puisque productivité moitié moindre) salaire suffisant, pas besoin de mettre les enfants au travail