Source: Dollar 2004. « Growth is good for the poor » Average income growth Income growth for the 20% poorest Unit of observation: country (over long period)

Présentation au sujet: "Source: Dollar 2004. « Growth is good for the poor » Average income growth Income growth for the 20% poorest Unit of observation: country (over long period)"— Transcription de la présentation:

1 Source: Dollar 2004

2 « Growth is good for the poor » Average income growth Income growth for the 20% poorest Unit of observation: country (over long period) Source: Dollar and Kray (2001)

3 Cross-country determinants of poverty Note: For details of the estimation and other results see Chen (2003). All estimations reported use ordinary least squares. The endogenous variable in all regression is the poverty gap. A * denotes significance at the 10 percent level, ** at the 5 percent level and *** at the 1 percent level. Standard errors are White Robust. Sample: 24 low-income countries, 1987-96 Source : Olarreaga & Nicita (2004), « Poverty », Ethiopia DTIS.

4 Source: Sala i Martin 2002 Income distribution over time: World, 1970-80

5 Source: Sala i Martin 2002 Income distribution over time: World 1990-98

6 Poverty: tide turning? Headcount of individuals living on less than $1 a day worldwide Source: World Bank (2002),"Globalization, Growth and Poverty: Building an Inclusive World Economy" million individuals First time!

7 and more trade doesnt imply more inequality Source: Dollar (2001) figure 12 Unit of observation: country (over long period)

8 Micro-economic determinants of poverty: household survey evidence Dependant variable: household per-capita income

9 Emploi enfants Salaire, produit marginal Offre de travail juvénile des familles Demande par les employeurs salaire déquil. Offre après taxe taxe Effet dune restriction sur le travail des enfants: analyse traditionnelle

10 wAwA A B C B Demande de travail effectif: n f(A i + γ C i ) = w A Travail effectif w A = 2s N(1+ γ)N Travail des enfants: le modèle de Basu et Hoang Wan # adultes # enfants divisé par 2 (puisque productivité moitié moindre) salaire suffisant, pas besoin de mettre les enfants au travail